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Tuğba  Bayar
  • Bilkent University, FEASS, Department of International Relations, 06800, Ankara/Turkey
As one of the most significant actors of the region, Iran’s interactions with great powers (as well as regional powers and non-state actors) have come under scrutiny. This article adopts an historical account and suggests a framework to... more
As one of the most significant actors of the region, Iran’s interactions with great powers (as well as regional powers and non-state actors) have come under scrutiny. This article adopts an historical account and suggests a framework to study Iran’s foreign policy. The framework is contextually built with a multilevel approach to specify the independent and intervening variables of Iran’s foreign policy through the light of neoclassical realist theory. In this context, it is argued that the independent variables of Iran’s foreign policy are geopolitics,
threat perceptions and balance of power politics. These systemic variables are filtered through nationalism, theological and revolutionary ideology and policy making mechanisms.
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This article investigates the interplay between interstate economic and security relations by conducting a comparative analysis of United States' (U.S.) trade frictions with China, Japan and South Korea. The data demonstrate that the U.S.... more
This article investigates the interplay between interstate economic and security relations by conducting a comparative analysis of United States' (U.S.) trade frictions with China, Japan and South Korea. The data demonstrate that the U.S. responded to its East Asian allies during the Cold War with retaliatory measures when they started to make trade surpluses against the U.S. Thus, it could be expected that the U.S. would respond to its mounting trade deficit against China after 2001 even more decisively, since it has had territorial disputes with this country. However, our analysis indicates that the U.S. followed a more docile approach with China until its 2008 economic crisis. This puzzle is explained by a number of economic and political factors. Our analysis concludes with insights for the coordination of trade and security policies at the governmental level and for the World Trade Organization's dispute settlement mechanism.
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Objectives: This article examines the impact of rising populism in nuclear weapon states on nuclear non-proliferation. Methods: The debate on the Nonproliferation Treaty's potential of achieving its goals, as well as new developments,are... more
Objectives: This article examines the impact of rising populism in nuclear weapon states on nuclear non-proliferation. Methods: The debate on the Nonproliferation Treaty's potential of achieving its goals, as well as new developments,are addressed. Results:The development of nuclear weapons, which is also motivated by national pride, is considered as the surest way of protecting national security. Originality: Considering that rise of populism in major powers has led to wars in many cases, this article draws a cautious picture for the future of global peace and stability.
Amaç: Bu makale, nükleer silah sahibi ülkelerde etkisini giderek artırmakta olan popülist trendin nükleer silahsızlanmaya olan etkisini incelemektedir. Tasarım/Yöntem: Nükleer Silahların Yayılmasının Önlenmesi Anlaşmasının hedeflerine ulaşma derecesi hakkında alan yazındaki tartışmalar ve yeni gelişmeler ele alınmaktadır. Sonuçlar:Nükleer silahların geliştirilmesi güvenliğin temininin en emin aracı olarak görülmekte, ayrıca, milli üstünlük hislerinden beslenmektedir. Özgün Değer:Büyük güçlerde neo-popülizmin taban oluşturduğu dönemlerin bir çok vakada savaşlara yol açtığını düşündüğümüzde, yayılmakta olan bu trendin de küresel barış ve istikrara vereceği zararlar endişe uyandırıcıdır.
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Irak, Suriye ve Türkiye arasında 1960’lı yıllardan beri devam etmekte olan su sorunu, Fırat-Dicle havzasında artan kuraklık, nüfus ve tarım-enerji ihtiyaçlarıyla taraflara zarar veren bir çıkmaza girmiştir. Üç kıyıdaş arasında nehirlerin... more
Irak, Suriye ve Türkiye arasında 1960’lı yıllardan beri devam etmekte olan su sorunu, Fırat-Dicle havzasında artan kuraklık, nüfus ve tarım-enerji ihtiyaçlarıyla taraflara zarar veren bir çıkmaza girmiştir. Üç kıyıdaş arasında nehirlerin statüsü ve kullanımı hususlarına odaklanan uyuşmazlık bazı dönemlerde tırmanarak askeri tehditler içermiş olsa da sıcak çatışmaya dönüşmemiş ve su insan hayatını tehdit edecek şekilde bir silah olarak kullanılmamıştır. Öte yandan, Suriye ve Türkiye arasında 2000’li yıllarda yaşanan yakınlaşma döneminde dahi nihai bir anlaşma sağlanamamıştır. Bu arka plandan hareketle makalemiz “Arap Baharı” sonrası dönemde su sorunun yapısal bir dönüşümden geçmekte olduğunu vurgulamaktadır. Şöyle ki, bağımsızlık ilan etmeye hazırlanan Kuzey Irak Kürtlerinin yanı sıra Daeş/IŞİD ile PYD-YPG’nin havza boyunca stratejik toprakları ve barajları ele geçirmesi, uyuşmazlığa yeni devlet ve devlet-dışı aktörlerin birincil taraf olması ihtimalini doğurmuştur. Ayrıca, Suriye ve Irak’taki iç savaşlarda suyun ölümcül bir silah olarak kullanılması diğer bir önemli gelişmedir. Makalemiz tarafların ve konuların artmakta olduğu su sorununda uyuşmazlık çözümü ihtimalinin artık daha azaldığı sonucuna varmaktadır.
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4 Kasım 2018'de başlayacak olan ikinci yaptırım paketinin İran'a, Türkiye'ye, bölgeye olası etkileri ve küresel yansımaları hakkında seminer.

Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi
Dış Politika ve Uluslararası İlişkiler Topluluğu
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Talk: The number of withdrawals from IOs have been increasing in the recent years. Interntional law has numerous loopholes in organizinf treaty withdrawal, which has multiple political effects. Seminar Türkisch-Deutsche Universität... more
Talk: The number of withdrawals from IOs have been increasing in the recent years. Interntional law has numerous loopholes in organizinf treaty withdrawal, which has multiple political effects.

Seminar
Türkisch-Deutsche Universität
Politikwissenschaft und Internationale Beziehungen
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As one of the most significant actors of the region, Iran’s interactions with great powers (as well as regional powers and non-state actors) have come under scrutiny. This article adopts an historical account and suggests a framework to... more
As one of the most significant actors of the region, Iran’s interactions with great powers (as well as regional powers and non-state actors) have come under scrutiny. This article adopts an historical account and suggests a framework to study Iran’s foreign policy. The framework is contextually built with a multi-level approach to specify the independent and intervening variables of Iran’s foreign policy through the light of neoclassical realist theory. In this context, it is argued that the independent variables of Iran’s foreign policy are geopolitics, threat perceptions and balance of power politics. These systemic variables are filtered through nationalism, theological and revolutionary ideology and policy making mechanisms.
Download (.pdf)